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February 27 Roulette Anyone?By 6YARDBOX's Jasbir Singh Reports have framed Arsenal as a side in decline. Since the 2003/04 title, Arsenal has added only one FA Cup to their trophy cabinet. Recent draws against Sunderland, West Ham, Everton and Middlesbrough amongst others have exposed the lack of firepower plaguing the Gunners' artillery. The media has been quick to lament the failings of this young side and have begun to question Arsenal’s youth and salary policy. But very soon, the fickle fourth estate might just change its stand. Should Arsenal win the upcoming league matches against Fulham and West Brom, headlines will begin to clamour greatness from a team on a 16 match unbeaten run. References will be drawn to the class of ’04 and their 49 match unbeaten run led by the tenacity of Viera and the class of Henry. With a couple of quick wins, Arsenal’s poor form will begin to look like good form.
Until then, all we have to settle for is an exciting relegation battle. With only seven points separating 13th and 20th place, a win by either of the bottom clubs can see them leap frog out of the drop zone. Make it two wins and they are up to a comfortable mid table place. Sorry, did I say comfortable? Playing in the top flight for the first time, Hull City at 13th place in the middle of the table are anything but comfortable. With 29 points raked in and six points above the drop zone, they face Blackburn, Newcastle, Portsmouth and Middlesbrough ready to overtake Hull in the coming weeks. A loss in any of these games will put Hull in a very precarious position. The toughest test awaits as their last five games see fixtures against the likes of Manchester United, Liverpool and Villa. Middle of the table at the end of February, Hull City may very well make a quick return to The Championship. The clubs in this ‘sinking seven’
are presenting a treat to all the neutrals alike. Tottenham, the Carling
Cup finalist and currently one spot below Hull, have 4 games against
each of the top four and another four games against fellow relegation
strugglers. Blackburn, the only non – ‘Big 4’ team to have won
the Premier League and now third from the bottom, are up against three
of the ‘Big 4’ with another five games against the other relegation
fighters.
With nothing separating the bottom
seven, the season is shaping out to be a game of Relegation Roulette. February 26 Fight Another DayBy 6YARDBOX's Khairil Misnal Liverpool, under Rafa Benitez, seems to be tailor made for European competition, more so than they are for the Premiership. Benitez brought his side to his hometown amidst rumours that he would resign or get the sack by the end of the week, to face a resurgent Real Madrid - on a nine match winning streak - and still came away victorious. One thing you can say that's common between Rafa and the Reds is that sometimes, they both like to do things the hard way. Leaving aside the talk of Benitez's imminent departure after contract talks continue to stall between him and the American owners, the Spaniard, a favourite to takeover at the Bernabeau in the summer, showed why he and Liverpool have been recent masters of Europe. With Real in red-hot form, having scored ten in their last two league games, one of which a 6-1 demolition of Betis, pundits and fans alike were saying that Real would brush aside the Reds at home with another attacking virtuoso display. That Liverpool came in short of both confidence and form, added to this belief. And with the talismanic Steven Gerrard out of the starting line-up, one wondered where the Reds would find inspiration from. When Fernando Torres, the only other world-class player in the Liverpool side was sent tumbling to the ground clutching his ankle, the travelling supporters and Red fans all over the world, must have thought the worse. Torres did soldier on but made way 30 minutes towards the end and it still remains to be seen what damage he sustained. So, that was probably it. The best Liverpool could hope for was a goalless draw. Not bad for a night's work against the 9 time European Cup holders. But Liverpool winning 1-0 from a Youssi Benayoun header though, should come as no surprise to the die-hards. It was a Benitez inspired and engineered victory. Keep the game tight, work as a unit to break up play and hit on the counter. The purists would probably begrudge Benitez and Liverpool of their successes in Europe but statistics do not lie. The victory against Real was Liverpool's 30th in the Champions League under the Spaniard, with the Reds drawing 12 times and losing 11 matches. What is staggering though is that in the group and knock-out stages of the Champions League, Benitez has masterminded 26 clean sheets out of the 53 games Liverpool have played. Although the Real result gives Rafa a brief respite from his "imminent" termination from the American owners if the media reports still swirling around Merseyside are to be believed, one thing you cannot claim against him is that he does not know how to do the business in Europe. He is sometimes hit and miss in the Premiership but almost good as gold in Europe. A Champions League win, another final appearance and a semi-final in three out of the four years he's been in charge so far is hard to argue against. Perhaps, Liverpool can go all the way to Paris this year, if Benitez is still in charge for the second-leg tie at Anfield that is. February 25 The Day It All UnraveledBy 6YARDBOX's Sumana Rajarethnam Liverpool fans out there, I am sad to say, but today is going to be a nightmare, for this is when it will all come apart. Let’s start with the Premiership. The draw against Man City over the weekend meant that Liverpool reached their tenth draw this season. Both Liverpool and United have roughly the same away form (Liverpool have one more win and United one more loss), but it is at Anfield that Liverpool are particularly disappointing. They have drawn six times there, all games which they were favourites to win, so it has to be considered 12 points lost.
United have lost twice this season. Since the start of the EPL, they have lost an average of five and a half games a season, which is good news for Liverpool fans. If Liverpool have a perfect run-in and United lose their quota of games, the title will go to the Reds. The statistics-backed truth couldn’t be further from the title however. United’s average is based on 16 years. Their average number of losses a season for the past five years come in at just under five games. And then there is the matter of considering Liverpool’s average, which is somewhere at the wrong end of eight and a bit losses.
The painful truth? Liverpool have had a fantastic season so far, outperforming their average self. United have been about the same as previous seasons, Chelsea quite a bit worse, and Arsenal pretty much terrible. That is why Liverpool are second in the league. Good progress as it is, this has come at the expense of domestic cups, and at the grace of Arsenal and Chelsea. The occasional League or FA trophy appeases fans. This year, Liverpool run a real risk of a second consecutive trophyless season.
The reason for the pain? Its cash money, plain and simple. When United beat Blackburn at the weekend, they had five players, Carrick, Ferdinand, Nani, Berbatov, and Rooney, that cost more than 15 million quid. That’s not counting the likes of Ronaldo, who only cost 12 million, and Hargreaves, Tevez and Anderson, who were either on the bench or out injured. United easily have nine players that were bought (rather than their current value) at more than 15 million.
The Liverpool team who drew at “Fortress Anfield” to the team with the worst away record had two players bought for 15 million or more: Mascherano and Torres. And that was it, there is nothing else. The most expensive player on the bench was Babel, increasingly looking like an older John Barnes on a diet of jerk chicken, who was bought for 11 million pounds.
Like having someone pull a plaster off as slowly as possible, tonight’s game against Real Madrid is going to be painful for Liverpool fans. Rafa Benitez has said that the game has no bearing on the security of his job, which basically means that his American owners have said that he better deliver the Cup or ship out.
When the Champions League draw was made, the tie against Madrid looked like an easy one. The next thing Real did was lose their match against Barcelona and all but concede the title. Since then, they have not lost a game, scoring ten goals in their last two, and have cut their twelve point deficit to seven. Liverpool have seen an eight point lead converted into a seven-point gap.
If
Liverpool go a goal down, Benitez won’t be able to resist playing
Gerrard. In the worst case, Gerrard will get injured, Liverpool will
lose, Benitez will get fired and Liverpool will start to “rebuild”
their squad yet again, still with little poundage and with less
tactical expertise, and United will have tied their record for most
number of domestic titles. In the best case scenario, the only
difference will be that Gerrard won’t get injured. February 24 Lurking in the ShadowsBy 6YARDBOX's Maxim Shrestha For some strange reason, lately I seem to keep running into die-hard Liverpool fans who mention the name Jose Mourinho, every time I start asking them about their club’s recent performance and the Benitez question. Am I missing something somewhere or is this just purely coincidence?
Whatever it is, I somehow sympathise with them. This year was their best ever start to a Premiership campaign. They had a seven point lead over Manchester United on New Year’s Day. Now, they trail United by the same amount. Many Liverpool fans are now declaring that it is already too big a gap for them to recover with just a dozen more games to go. It’s a truly sad turn of events and Liverpudlians look ready to throw in the towel. Everything they have tried close to two decades now has failed, so it is probably a natural progression to probably hope for the only one person who has actually gazumped United in the recent past - Jose Mourinho. How could we blame them? Being the only ones among what we consider the Big 4 without a Premiership title must be rough as it is. And then to lose such a big advantage that they managed to garner early on is probably like the final twist of the knife. The thought of the serpent-tongued, self-claimed-messiah, making a return to the EPL by joining Liverpool is entertaining. It would be quite remarkable on multiple levels. That man alone could probably save the British tabloids from recession and, truth be told renew that drama that we have missed in the last two seasons. Who knows, maybe even give the Reds a title. Even with him currently coaching in Italy, Mourinho’s comments and views about the EPL is still thoroughly amusing. His disagreement with Arsene Wenger’s comments on Man United being “untouchable” a day before his Inter faces Sir Alex’s Devil’s was classic Jose. And not just that but to imply that Man United’s successes and their great game was somehow his doing is a stroke of pure genius. Even though Jose's successes at Porto have come under scrutiny due to the revelation of Porto’s match fixing scandal, and perhaps his success is more a factor of money rather than his coaching prowess (Abrahamovic's billions), but the fact of the matter is, Mourino is a lovable rogue. Can you imagine being Ferguson right now? Waking up early in the morning, well rested before flying off to Milan to play a relatively tough fixture at the San Siro. You're sipping your morning cuppa, grab the newspapers, flip to the sports section and see that the same annoying twit you finally managed to get off your back over a year back, boasting and taking credit for your team’s fine performance and victories, since. Now you can’t help but watch tonight's game. And the psychological pressure is suddenly not on the team facing the defending champions, but the defending champions themselves. To add to that, Beckham has openly warned his former club of the dangers that Adriano and Ibrahmovic present and that is certainly not going to help his former team’s morale. Not always has Mourinho beat Sir Alex with a better squad or tactics. It was exactly these kinds of little things which he is so good at that probably gave Chelsea the upper hand on numerous occasions. The Special One is certainly not holding back even now, and expect Inter to beat United tonight, partially because of his “off the field” tactics. In any case, I'm expecting to meet more Liverpool fans determined that Mourinho is the right man at Anfield in the days to come. Especially if Inter secure that win tonight. February 23 Within Touching DistanceBy 6YARDBOX's Lee Chan Wai
This last week, United made doubly sure of winning the title by first demolishing Fulham midweek and followed that up with a weekend win over relegation threatened Blackburn Rovers. United may have lost their run of clean sheets when Roque Santa Cruz scored for Blackburn in United’s 2-1 victory, but the win put them eight points clear of second-placed Liverpool with only 12 games to play. The manner of victory itself was slightly fortunate. Cristiano Ronaldo could well have been sent off if the referee had not missed him kicking out at David Dunn. A strong appeal for a penalty when Morten Gamst Pedersen went down in the United box was also waved away by referee Howard Webb. To make matters worse for Blackburn, Ronaldo grabbed the winner on the hour with an audacious free kick. How Liverpool wished they could get themselves out of trouble like United. They may have already performed miracles this season but it seems a Liverpool season collapse is becoming as regular as the expected capitulation when the England cricket team goes out to bat. Man City, low on morale, almost illogically produced their finest away performance of the season to earn a point at Anfield. The combination of resolute opponents and Liverpool’s own inability to create clear-cut chances has meant this was the sixth team to leave Anfield with a draw, none of them from the top four. In contrast, United have only dropped 2 points at home all season long. What a difference those 12 points could have made to the title race if Liverpool had won all their home matches. Those familiar problems for Liverpool began to resurface: a lack of incisive passing, over-dependence on a certain absent captain and an inability to convert chances. Though, Liverpool could well count themselves unlucky as they always seem to come up against teams in particularly good form on the day. Although Liverpool hardly deserved any more from the game, if the referee had spotted City’s Richard Dunne punching away a goal bound Yossi Benayoun header, it could well have been a repeat of the stirring comeback at the City of Manchester Stadium earlier in the season. The only consolation for Liverpool is that in previous seasons, they may not even have had the courage or quality to get the equaliser, let alone the winner after going a goal down to such stubborn opposition. The title may also already have been all but mathematically beyond them. At the moment, at least they still have hope. Liverpool have still only lost one
game all season in the league and although their task of usurping United
are not impossible, time is running out fast. They may already need
some help from opposing teams to stop United, but they need to get their
own house in order, and fast. February 20 Not Yet OverBy 6YARDBOX's Jasbir Singh
And why not? With United’s
fearsome form, records have broken on route to the top of Premiership.
The Ferdinand-Vidic backline has become a fortress. In the midfield,
United boast its ‘evergreen’ duo of Paul Scholes and Ryan Giggs
playing like it is 1996 again. Fergies forwards are giving him a headache
as he is spoilt for choice between $486 million worth of talent in Rooney,
Ronaldo, Berbatov and Tevez. It’s all been said before, two
trophies already in the bag - another four lie in wait. But let’s not get too excited.
The fixture list is excruciating. Winning the League and all the other
riches is going to be a herculean task. In the span of eight days, United
are up against Blackburn, Inter Milan and Tottenham in Premier League,
Champions League and League Cup clashes respectively. Ok, so Blackburn isn’t going
to be a problem. In fact, Van Der Sar will welcome the chance to win
the European record for clean sheets at Ewood Park. While the goalie
receives the accolades, let’s not forget Vidic. The steady Serb has
been winning header, and tackles in all of United’s 14 clean sheets.
It is no wonder Van Der Sar had only 24 saves to make in the last 14
encounters. But that might soon come to
an end. With a certain Jose Mourinho and the golden boots of Zlatan
Ibrahimovich, United’s recent run of form might hit a wall. The stats
don’t lie. Mourinho leads Ferguson 6-1 in head to head encounters.
To make matters worse, Inter just tucked away a star studded AC Milan
to put them 9 points clear at the top of the Serie A. If they survive
Inter, United have the likes of Real, Juventus, Barcelona and Porto
amongst others to deal with. From the Champions League,
United travel to Cardiff for the Carling Cup Final. With Robbie Keane
and Jermaine Defoe back at the helm, the Lilywhites will be charged
to defend the trophy they won a year ago. Fighting relegation, out of
the FA cup and trailing Shaktar Donetsk by two goals in the UEFA cup,
this tiny trophy is their only shot of pride this season. United will
have their hands full as Ferguson fields his young fledglings who brought
them to this final. Turning our eyes back to the
Premier League, both United and Liverpool have 13 games to go. Vidic
and Berbatov talk about the 5 point lead being a big psychological advantage
for United. They need to brush up on their history. Psychology counted
for nothing as United overcame a 10 point league to pip Newcastle for
the title in 1996. Again it counted for nothing as United did the exact
opposite as they blew a 12 point league to let Arsenal win the league
in 1998. Looking ahead, United are up
against Liverpool on March 14. Assuming all things remain unchanged,
a Liverpool win at Old Trafford can set the stage for a nail biting
finish. From there, United risk dropping points at Villa, Spurs, City
and Arsenal while Liverpool face similar challenges with Villa, Arsenal
and Spurs. February 19 Manchester CallingBy 6YARDBOX's Khairil Misnal Wales have become the dominant force in the 6 Nations and Rafael Nadal has surpassed Roger Federer as the best tennis player in the world but in the realm that is English football, all seems to be business as usual. With Man United easily brushing aside Fulham 3-0 this morning, the Red Devils extended their lead in the Premiership to five points. It looks ominous for their nearest title challenges, Liverpool, as not only did Wayne Rooney return from injury to figure in the score sheet but that Edwin van der Sar notched another clean sheet - United are firing on both offensive and defensive cylinders indeed. Much hoopla may have been made of Man City's purchase by the billionaires from Abu Dhabi, and their audacious bids for the likes of Kaka, but it looks like it is the red half of Manchester which is experiencing the good times as they go in search for a second three-peat and 18th league title in total. Man United have spent millions on players - and some of these signings have failed miserably - but the fact of the matter is that Alex Ferguson knows how to build title winning teams. What pressure it must be for Mark Hughes, who is not only the rival Manchester manager but also a former player and disciple of Fergie. Even though Hughes spent 50 million pounds during the transfer window, results have been poor and Man City are still not entirely safe from the relegation threat with 13 games to go and just eight points separating them and 18th placed Blackburn. What a disaster and shambles it would be if that happens. That Hughes still has his job when the likes of Tony Adams and Felipe Scolari - a World Cup winner - have been given the sack, speaks volumes. I'm not sure if it means that the Abu Dhabi owners are wise enough to give their manager more time or if they are foolish enough to think that if they throw enough money, success will follow - irregardless of who the manager is. But, if Middle Eastlands is to surpass Old Trafford as the centre of England's and to some extent Europe's footballing universe, then it must be said that Mark Hughes is not the right manager to undertake this galactic task. Felipe Scolari has been mentioned because of his close association to Robinho and possibly his rumoured ability to entice Kaka. Yet, the post is suited for a manager who has experience of European football at the highest level and in this regard, Scolari's replacement at Stamford Bridge, Guus Hiddink fits the bill. Jose Mourinho is also another obvious choice, as he has proven with Chelsea, he knows what needs doing when given a bottomless budget. But his long-term contract at Inter Milan, where he is loved by ownership, supporters and players, will make it unlikely that he will be moving back to England anytime soon. Perhaps, the surprise managerial appointment in the summer will be Rafael Benitez taking charge of Man City. The Spaniard is still mulling over his contract extension at Liverpool, is at loggerheads with the American owners and his chief executive Rick Parry and would surely jump at the chance if he was promised control over key footballing operations such as player transfers. It would surely add spice to the brewing rivalry between Benitez and Ferguson if they worked in the same city. February 17 Gunner Light It UpBy 6YARDBOX's Maxim Shrestha
February 16 Chelsea's Dutch DelightBy 6YARDBOX's Lee Chan Wai Guus Hiddink begins a new an unusual journey in his managerial career today when he assumes control at Chelsea. Hired part-time and without a contract by Chelsea owner Roman Abramovich - also a personal friend and benefactor to the Russian national team (Hiddink's full time job) - Hiddink has been charged with getting Chelsea right back up the league table and hopefully to decorate the trophy cabinet if possible. What are we to make of Hiddink’s appointment? To begin with, he is certainly one of the most respected managers in the game. His successes with the South Korean, Australian and Russian national teams cemented that reputation. Together with a successful club period with PSV in the earlier part of this decade, Hiddink has largely been beyond reproach when it comes to a discussion about his managerial ability. He is deemed to have a golden managerial touch despite notable difficulties in the past managing clubs in Spain and the Dutch national team. As far as respected managers go, Hiddink has few equals. He should command the respect of the Chelsea players, at least initially. But Scolari’s example also shows that even a World Cup winner can be forced out by player power. But, rest assured, we can expect the crafty Hiddink to be able to negotiate the huge egos at Stamford Bridge. He is famous for being a superb man-manager and motivator. He is able to get the best out of his players regardless of where he has coached. Tactically, he is also extremely astute.
He is said to not favour any particular system, preferring to assess
the players he has at Chelsea before deciding the shape of the team.
From Korea’s 3-4-3 to Australia’s 4-5-1 formation, Hiddink has shown
that he can bring success given different cultural and tactical scenarios.
That will stand him in good stead as he assumes control at Chelsea. Perhaps, the most salient point to consider is does he have the time and ultimate focus of his players to get the way he wants them to play? In his previous jobs, he had total control, and those around him moved mountains all so he could do his job well. It was already reported that he has spoken to a number of players in private and also had a hand in the team tactics in Chelsea’s FA Cup triumph over Watford on Saturday. If that performance was to give any clue to Hiddink’s thinking, then solidity will be a key point, with Chelsea’s fullbacks ordered not to attack with as much verve and careless adventure. But the main question is whether Hiddink
can be Chelsea’s hero at the end of the season, rescuing them from
a 10-point gap to overhaul Manchester United? The advantage is that
Hiddink has no pressure on him. If he does not succeed then critics
will deem he did not have enough time and he assumed an impossible position
at the club. People are half-expecting Chelsea not
to turn their season around and that would suit Hiddink just fine as
the underdog. It is when Hiddink and his teams are underestimated that
they are at their most dangerous. As he has shown with all the most
recent teams he has managed, you ignore Hiddink at your own peril. February 13 Football's NostradamusBy 6YARDBOX's Maxim Shrestha If you thought the transfer window was going to be the most significant period of this season, think again. This last week beats everything that has happened this season put together. With the sacking of Tony Adams, and Felipe Scolari, the appointment of Guus Hiddink, this particular week will be the turning point of this season which will most likely decide the fate of a handful of teams. Here's a list of possible scenarios that could have its roots in the events that unfolded over the last few days. Scenario 1: Manchester United take the title (again) Not only will it be a historical victory which sees the Red Devils complete yet another three-peat for Sir ALex, it will also see them tie the all time title win record with fierce rivals Liverpool. He will thank his boys' hard work and good fortunes, but Scolari's sacking will be seen as one of the potential reasons and bumps as to why pre-season favourites Chelsea were probably not able to stop the big red machine. Scenario 2: Chelsea takes the title The Blues make a historic comeback from fourth place and edge out the Devils to take the crown. The credit will undoubtedly all go to Golden Guus, who worked his miracle yet again to achieve what was thought impossible. Abramovich is genius for having seen the flaws in his club under Scolari and having successfully secured Hiddink's services. Hiddink might quit coaching the Russian team to stay on at Stamford Bridge after all. And get the sack in the following mid-season when Abramovich decides he can manage Chelsea all by himself. Scenario 3: Manchester City sign Kaka or Messi Despite getting a fair share of bad press
and being often times ridiculed throughout the course of this season,
if City
manage to finally sign more super stars they are going to look back to
last
week and pat themselves on the back for officially removing Thaksin
from their
board of directors and as the club chairman. The former Thai premier is
somewhat an international fugitive and having him on the board has been
detrimental to City's already suffering image under their new Abu Dhabi
owners. Thaksin's omission does not automatically make this club that
much more appealing, but at least, I would argue, it is a step in the
right direction. Scenario 4: Portsmouth get relegated Already tied for 16th position, Pompey are severely lacking in form. Now with the departure of Tony Adams there will only be a bunch of assistants trying to save the team from a season in the Coca Cola. The bigger blame might fall on Redknapp's departure, but Adams (though untested) will probably be their last proper manager for this season. In any case even if Portsmouth manages to stay clear of relegation, once again Tony's departure might be regarded a wise decision. Now all we can do is wait and see how it
will all play out. But what we can definitely say with some degree of certainty
is that this week will go down as one of those rare 7 days that changed the EPL.
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